TRON: ARES Opening Weekend Tracking Revealed - But Is It Bad News For The Jared Leto-Led Threequel?

TRON: ARES Opening Weekend Tracking Revealed - But Is It Bad News For The Jared Leto-Led Threequel?

TRON: Ares arrives in theaters on October 10, and the threequel has just raced onto box office tracking boards. Is this the fresh start for the sci-fi franchise that Disney is hoping for? Check it out...

By JoshWilding - Sep 19, 2025 11:09 AM EST
Filed Under: Tron
Source: Deadline (via SFFGazette.com)

Tickets for TRON: Ares went on sale earlier this month, and Deadline (via SFFGazette.com) has just shared some early estimates for the threequel's opening weekend. The movie, led by Morbius star Jared Leto, has hit tracking with an expected $44 million debut in North America. 

That's the same figure as 2010's TRON: Legacy, but as the trade points out, "IMAX-fueled tentpoles like F1, The Conjuring: Last Rites, and Weapons, have seen their actual box office dollars leaving their forecasts in the dust."

Presales have reached $2 million, which is comparable to Gladiator II ($55 million opening), F1: The Movie ($57 million opening), and Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny ($60.3 million opening). So, a decent start. 

Disney has gone all out to build excitement for TRON: Ares, including bringing the movie to the San Diego Comic-Con and buying pricey TV spots during NFL and college football games. Disney World's Tron LightCycle Ride at Magic Kingdom has also been given an eye-catching red and black overhaul. 

Sexual misconduct allegations made about Leto haven't derailed TRON: Ares, which has a higher awareness among men over 25 than movies like Transformers: Rise of the Beasts ($61 million opening), Ready Player One ($41.7 million opening), and Furiosa ($26.3 million opening).

The TRON franchise has never been a box office juggernaut, but TRON and TRON: Legacy have made a combined $433 million at the worldwide box office. 

Whether TRON: Ares can exceed expectations remains to be seen, but it currently has the makings of a modest success. Disney is likely hoping to have a new sci-fi franchise on its hands, and only time will tell whether this movie spawns a new wave of TRON stories.

TRON: Ares follows a highly sophisticated Program, Ares, who is sent from the digital world into the real world on a dangerous mission, marking humankind's first encounter with A.I. beings.

The movie stars Jared Leto, Greta Lee, Evan Peters, Hasan Minhaj, Jodie Turner-Smith, Arturo Castro, Cameron Monaghan, and Gillian Anderson. Joachim Rønning directs; producers are Sean Bailey, Jeffrey Silver, Justin Springer, Leto, Emma Ludbrook and Steven Lisberger.

TRON: Ares (Original Motion Picture Soundtrack), featuring all original music by Nine Inch Nails, will be released on September 19 via Interscope Records. The release marks the first-ever film score by the pioneering band, although bandmates Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross have composed 20 scores under their own names, winning two Oscars, three Golden Globes, a GRAMMY and an Emmy in the process.

TRON: Ares arrives in theaters on October 10, 2025. 

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Wahhvacado
Wahhvacado - 9/19/2025, 11:33 AM
I gotta say the movie does look like it could be good, but man I dislike Leto
dracula
dracula - 9/19/2025, 11:34 AM
Is leto really a leading man
soberchimera
soberchimera - 9/19/2025, 11:37 AM
@dracula - Is Ledo a leting man?
TheJok3r
TheJok3r - 9/19/2025, 11:57 AM
@dracula - No; he fails with both critics and the box office, yet somehow keeps getting work.
Feralwookiee
Feralwookiee - 9/19/2025, 1:39 PM
@soberchimera - Is Pedo a leto, man?
UnderBelly
UnderBelly - 9/19/2025, 11:38 AM
It's going to be another flop i reckon, just like Legacy was 15 years ago, but i bet the NIN's soundtrack is going to be dope, just like it was 15 years ago with Daft Punk.

I for one am interested in seeing it, but like many others i also have a disdain for Leto that i just can't understand...

I liked Legacy though, everything worked for me except the deaged effects for Bridges characters.
UnderBelly
UnderBelly - 9/19/2025, 11:44 AM
@UnderBelly - * ok Legacy wasn't a flop FLOP, as i suppose it did a little more than break even, but it did not get the expected reception they were hoping for. Ares will be no different, but the budget looks about the same, so lets see how it does at the box office.
Tensorpants
Tensorpants - 9/19/2025, 11:51 AM
It's bad news BECAUSE it's a Jared Leto led threequel
WEAPONXOXOXO
WEAPONXOXOXO - 9/19/2025, 11:57 AM
This is Disney right?

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Biggums
Biggums - 9/19/2025, 12:49 PM
@WEAPONXOXOXO - I mean, I don't pay for movies
TheVisionary25
TheVisionary25 - 9/19/2025, 11:59 AM
Not too bad though I do feel Disney has overestimated the popularity of this franchise but I said the same thing about Avatar before Way of Water came out and that proved me wrong so oh well…

The movie looks fine imo but I hope the story & characters can back up the VFX & music since I feel those things don’t tend to leave that much of an impact on the GA nowadays.

Hopefully personally this can cement me as a fan of this franchise since it’s been a long while since I have seen the first one and I didn’t care for Legacy (honestly the most I have liked the franchise was Disney XD’s Tron Uprising which was cancelled after one season).
thedrudo
thedrudo - 9/19/2025, 12:08 PM
The Nine Inch Nails score is about the only with this that I care about tbh.
Apophis71
Apophis71 - 9/19/2025, 3:57 PM
@thedrudo - Yeh, I'm more likely to pay for an album of the soundtrack than to pay to watch the film on a big screen and almost entirely due to who the lead is but will probably give it a shot for free at some point cos did love the original Tron and thought the second film was OK, even if nowhere near as good for me as the original.
thedrudo
thedrudo - 9/19/2025, 6:53 PM
@Apophis71 - I agree. I really don't have interest in Ares just from what I've seen but again, NIN music and I've seen the first two. So I'll see this opening weekend and use my Regal Pass.
Joker666
Joker666 - 9/19/2025, 12:14 PM
Jesus….how does Leto keep getting work? Best thing he ever acted in was that tv show from the 90s. As for his Joker…hahaha. The Joker I saw for one second on that Bateman commercial did a better job!
VicSage
VicSage - 9/19/2025, 12:14 PM
This movie has so much going for it and then there’s the stain of Jared Leto.

Jeff Cronenweth is behind the lens, son of Jordan Cronenweth who was the DP for Blade Runner.

Jeff has shot Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Fight Club, Social Network, and more. He has the eye for what a Tron film should look like.

NIN succeeding Daft Punk couldn’t have been a better choice.

Joachim Ronning is a solid, capable director. Only seen a handful of his work and the cast is solid, and the writing team could have turned something nice in, they’ve worked on some promising projects recently.

But damn, Leto kinda ruins the whole thing for me.
Apophis71
Apophis71 - 9/19/2025, 4:01 PM
@VicSage - Same on all counts, not got an issue if it turns out to be a surprise hit as theatres need the wins and for the franchise I hope it is narratively good but Leto makes it impossible for me to have any interest in paying to watch no matter what (will probably still watch for free at some point as IS a franchise I still feel attached to).
Kadara
Kadara - 9/19/2025, 12:15 PM
I saw zero advertising for this, are they actually relying on old media? Well good luck.
ThorArms
ThorArms - 9/19/2025, 12:25 PM
@Kadara - I can't stop seeing adverts for it. It's during every baseball and football game.
Kadara
Kadara - 9/19/2025, 12:35 PM
@ThorArms - oh I see, Canadian here who just follows soccer. Never seen a single ad.
DesiSpiderman
DesiSpiderman - 9/19/2025, 12:40 PM
@Kadara - I am a Canadian, and I have seen tons of Tron ads.
Timerider
Timerider - 9/19/2025, 12:58 PM
None of the characters from Tron Legacy are in this, except Jeff Bridges Kevin Flynn, that was confirmed by the director. If it does well, there might be a Tron 4 in the future. It can’t break even, it has to do very well.
Linux1172
Linux1172 - 9/19/2025, 4:37 PM
@Timerider - Yepp. I feel this film is tricky for the fans. One one hand, if it does well, then does Leto and the totally new direction they steered it in take the credit? Or, if it does bad, do they blame the fans and say we're not longer interested in TRON, despite them not giving us Sam or Quora or TRON (basically what most of the fanbase actually wanted)?
FinnishDude
FinnishDude - 9/19/2025, 1:10 PM
It's kinda amazing how some actors lost their careers after just one high-profile flop or public controversy, while Leto has multiple cases of both, yet keeps getting work.
dragon316
dragon316 - 9/19/2025, 1:25 PM
Looks fun for sci-fi Disney
RegularPoochie
RegularPoochie - 9/19/2025, 1:32 PM
Never cared about these movies, don't know why. The first one was ok and legacy was DS and this will copy the same formula.
AnthonyVonGeek
AnthonyVonGeek - 9/19/2025, 2:24 PM
A new Tron movie…
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Starring Jared Leto…
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Timerider
Timerider - 9/19/2025, 2:59 PM
@AnthonyVonGeek - that was perfect, I miss Chris Farley so much
Linux1172
Linux1172 - 9/19/2025, 4:34 PM
@AnthonyVonGeek - that was absolutely me when read he got cast. You can add me mumbling, "Who the hell is Ares? Where is TRON?", too. Because that's exactly what I did.
ModHaterSLADE
ModHaterSLADE - 9/19/2025, 3:05 PM
Loved Legacy, looking forward to it.
Mercwitham0uth
Mercwitham0uth - 9/19/2025, 3:18 PM
Looks pretty good.

The fact that Nine Inch Nails is scoring the film is what interests me the most.
WCMR
WCMR - 9/19/2025, 10:44 PM
West Coast Midnight Run is starting to experience nightmares when thinking about the newest TRON Ares installment in the TRON franchise. But we can't make any actual comments because of the embargo imposed by Disney until opening weekend. So there just happens to be a smattering of clues from the WANQOR Entertainment Press Release

https://midnighttracks.net/teasers/tron-ares-press

There is also this from WANQOR which was posted on some outlets already
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We'll keep you looped in, until opening weekend

WEST COAST MIDNIGHT RUN FAN NUTJOB

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